Systematic review of literature on electrical energy consumption forecast models
The growing consumption of electrical energy, climate change and the development of new technologies demand improvements for efficient energy management. An adequate forecast of the energy consumption is relevant for the sustainable development of any country. This article proposes a systematic review of selected literature based on search chains formed by the terms forecasting, energy and consumption
applied to the scientific databases. In the article are compared mostly the models/ techniques used, the considered variables and the error metrics used for obtaining knowledge on each one of the proposals, relieve its features and thus highlight the void in the literature that might be determinant for new research work. As conclusions are made evident the continuous use of neural networks for forecasting the
energy consumption, the importance of determining the input variables and the error measuring for evaluating the precision of the models. Finally, the development of a model for the CEE short term forecast of a Latin-American developing country based on the comparison and evaluation of different techniques/models, variables and already existing tools is proposed as a new line of research.
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Author BiographiesAgustín José Mazzeo, Universidad de Medellín
Ingeniero en Informatica (Escuela Técnica Superior del Ejército Argentino)
Estudiante de Maestría en Ingeniería de Software (Universidad de Medellín)
Consultor Líder de Analítica en MVM Ingeniería de Software S.A.S.Lina María Sepúlveda Cano, Universidad de Medellín
Ingeniera Electrónica, Doctora en Ingeniería – Línea Automática.
Docente tiempo completo en la Universidad de Medellín
Grupo de Ingestigación ArkadiusLuisa Fernanda Villa Montoya, Universidad de Medellín
Ingeniera de Sistemas. Doctora en Procesos y Sistemas
Docente tiempo Completo en Universidad de Medellín
Grupo de Ingestigación ArkadiusRicardo Alonso Gallego Burgos, MVM Ingeniería de Software
Magister en gestión tecnológica, Ingenierio de Sistemas
Director de Innovación en MVM Ingeniería de Software S.A.S.
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