Is the resurgence of the Colombian armed conflict possible in the post - conflict phase?

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William Orlando Prieto
Johanna Elizabeth Manrique

Abstract

This paper aims to present a critical review on factors that may cause a resurgence of the Colombian armed conflict in its post - conflict phase. For this purpose, a comparison of cases from Africa, Asia, Europe and Latin America in the last 10 years is presented around two criteria: The design of public policy during post - conflict, and the results in social development before and after the signing of the peace agreements. Two conclusions stand out: On the one side, community - based planning is relevant during the period of social and economic reconstruction; and on the other, countries with older conflicts seem to have reached a steady state that is accompanied by the consolidation of a system of violence, particularly in rural areas. In Colombia, it can be said that the resurgence of the armed conflict in the post - conflict phase is not feasible, provided that the respective investments are made in the dimensions addressed int the study and their variables (economy, human capital, social capital, institutions, and social development).

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Author Biographies

William Orlando Prieto, Catholic University of Colombia

Economista, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá, Colombia. Magíster en políticas públicas,
Universidad de Rochester, Nueva York, Estados Unidos. Docente investigador de tiempo completo,
Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Administrativas, Universidad Católica de Colombia, Bogotá, Colombia.
Dirección: carrera 47 n.° 13A - 13, dirección postal 110231, oficina edificio C, tercer piso. Teléfono:
3203283452. Correo electrónico: woprieto@ucatolica.edu.co

Johanna Elizabeth Manrique, Catholic University of Colombia

Economista, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá, Colombia. Magíster en ciencias económicas,
Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá, Colombia. Docente investigadora, Facultad de Ciencias
Económicas y Administrativas, Universidad Católica de Colombia, Bogotá, Colombia. Dirección: carrera
47 n.° 13A - 13, dirección postal 110231. Teléfono: 3124521458. Correo electrónico: jemanrique@ucatolica.
edu.co

How to Cite

Prieto, W. O., & Manrique, J. E. (2018). Is the resurgence of the Colombian armed conflict possible in the post - conflict phase?. Semestre Económico, 21(46), 57-94. https://doi.org/10.22395/seec.v21n46a3

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