Sovereign risk and Foreign Direct Investment in Colombia, 2003-2018

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Cristina Isabel Ramos Barroso

Abstract

This study examines the effect of sovereign risk on the Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) flows in Colombia during the 2003-2018 period. For this purpose, quarterly data about the Emerging Market Bond Index Global (Embig) is used as a proxy for sovereign risk, FDI inward flows and a set of control variables. Through a regression analysis with Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) it is found that sovereign risk has a strong impact on the FDI inward flows, explaining the 22 % of the total FDI variation. It is also ratified the substantial effect of sovereign risk on the FDI inward flows with an impulse-response function. By controlling for a trade openness and a business confidence index, it is concluded that the private agents confidence matter and the trade openness is determining in the attraction of foreign capital inward flows.

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Author Biography

Cristina Isabel Ramos Barroso, National University of Colombia

Profesional en Negocios Internacionales, Universidad de Medellín, Medellín, Colombia. Estudiante de la Maestría en Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Medellín, Colombia. Asistente editorial revista Semestre Económico, Universidad de Medellín, Medellín, Colombia. Correo electrónico: cramosb@unal.edu.co; isabelbarroso92@gmail.com

How to Cite

Ramos Barroso, C. I. . (2019). Sovereign risk and Foreign Direct Investment in Colombia, 2003-2018. Semestre Económico, 22(52), 131-159. https://doi.org/10.22395/seec.v22n52a6

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